Yes, we felt the Easter Sunday earthquake: 7.2 in Guadeloupe
Victoria ("43"). There have been many more smaller
earthquakes since Easter. Some of the local towns are known by
their location along a more or less straight line from Mexicali to El
Golfo 39, 43, 57.
Two or three years ago I started watching the www.earthquake.gov
web site for quakes in this area. There seemed to be an irregular
but consistent number of small quakes west of the Salton Sea. As
I continued to watch this map, the small quakes followed south into
Mexico to the west of 43.
The density of quakes seemed to increase as well as their maximum
size. The Easter Earthquake was a serious
quake. In 43 and 57 walls came down and there were cracks in the
ground and highways. In El Golfo we just got a free roller
Since Easter the Earthquake.Gov map looks more like confetti than a
map. Red (hour), blue (way), and yellow (week) squares are so
dense that you cannot tell one from the other. And the line is
And it passes
right under El Golfo. It is not a straight line as it has
zig-zags. If the current trend continues, we can expect to see an
increasing number of temblors in El Golfo. And probably of
Well, that is the question isn't it? The absolute worst case
is the earth opens up and El Golfo disappears. Not very
Not likely at all -- unless there is a serious earthquake south of
us and in the Sea of Cortez. Maybe -- but I do not think in my
Any quake like that in 43 will create cracks in the earth. For
them it was just holes to be filled and highways to be repaired and new
walls to be built. That is enough. But if cracks appear in
El Golfo, we shall not need to fill them. The Sea of Cortez will
do that for us. We just will not like the result any better than
the cracks. It does not take a vivid imagination to understand
what happens next. It depends upon the depth, size and number
If the shift is downward, this would cause the Sea of Cortez to flow
into the lower area. Upward? We get a better view of the
sea. But the downward shift could flood a large area. My
home is about 30 meters above the sea -- maybe less. A downward
shift of half that would not be a disaster other than the RV might tip
over during the quake.
This is interesting geography. As you go north you actually go
to a lower elevation. By the time you get to the US border, you
are about 30 meters below sea level. A really serious quake could
cause the Sea of Cortez to flow north to fill any area below its
current level. The Sea of Cortez has a more or less infinite
source of water: the entire Pacific Ocean. The area below sea
level is bounded by hills or the water would already be there.
Vertical or horizontal movement of this barrier hills could cause new
beachfront property. This is really worst case.
If there is a really serious quake here and you want to get away, take the highway south to Puerto Peñasco and then east to Sonoyta. The problem is that you may need a 4x4 truck or Jeep to cross the cracks that will occur if the quake is so bad that you need to leave.
For any quake three things go fast: power, water, and phone service -- including cell phone. Some Pemex stations have their own power but they have no way to get more gas: fill up before the quake.
This is a partial list. Find a better list online. Do not delay.